Tampa Bay has quietly become a bottom three team for strikeout rate against right handed pitchers and Hunter Brown has firmly positioned himself as a Cy Young candidate so far this season. Brown has struck out at least nine batters in five straight starts and hit the over on this line in seven of nine this season. His underlying metrics are solid with a 12% swinging strike rate, 111 Stuff+ rating and 2.74 expected ERA. He's kept the walks and hard hit rate down, plus the underlying numbers against lefties inspire confidence in this matchup, as the Rays lineup should feature 6-7 lefties. For Brown facing left handed batters, the swinging strike rate jumps to 14% with a 30% whiff rate.

FanDuel. Hunter Brown has been electric for the Astros this season. He’s cleared this line in seven of nine starts, including nine strikeouts in five straight outings. Pitching to a 1.43 ERA, his 30.5% called plus swinging strike rate is amongst the elite for a starter. He’ll now face the Rays, who own a 23.7% strikeout rate against righties over the last two weeks (ninth highest), and overall own a 28% K% against power pitchers this season.