Ranger Suarez is 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA lifetime against the Pirates, and I bet him to continue that mastery Friday night. Pittsburgh averages a major-league low 3.07 runs, which drops to 2.73 on the road. The Phils should have success against Andrew Heaney, who has an expected ERA of 4.32 and has allowed a collective OPS of 1.066 to current Philadelphia batters (32 at-bats). The Phils sport a .789 OPS at home this season and

Ranger Suarez faced the Guardians and DBacks in two starts since returning from the IL, with five and six strikeouts respectively, and against tougher strikeout matchups than this Pirates lineup should be. Pittsburgh possesses the third highest strikeout rate vs. left handed pitchers and 9/11 southpaws have reached at least five strikeouts against this lineup thus far. Suarez is not racking up strikeouts with a sky high swinging strike rate and filthy pitches, he simply knows how to locate his pitches, be efficient, and pull the string when he needs to, getting through seven innings last time on 82 pitches. Extra opportunities in the later innings could be key, as the 6th strikeout should be well within his range and we’re getting plus odds.