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Wed, May 0711:40 pm UTCTarget Field
70 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Baltimore
Orioles
BAL
Last 5 ML
W/L75-87
ATS77-85
O/U65-92-5
FINAL SCORE
2
-
5
Minnesota
Twins
MIN
Last 5 ML
W/L70-92
ATS80-82
O/U73-81-8
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
75-87
Win /Loss
70-92
77-85
Spread
80-82
65-92-5
Over / Under
73-81-8
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BAL @ MIN
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MONEYLINE
BAL @ MIN
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OVER / UNDER
BAL @ MIN
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11%
PUBLIC
89%
MONEY
21%
PUBLIC
79%
MONEY
Over96%
PUBLIC
Under4%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadMinnesota -1.5 +155
WIN
Unit1.0
+2295
182-174-4 in Last 360 MLB Picks
+592
23-22 in Last 45 MLB ATS Picks
+657
8-3 in Last 11 MIN ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

It's paratrooper-like risky for Brandon Hyde to close his eyes once more to give Charlie Morton another chance in the disappointing Birds rotation. Morton has been symbolic of the Baltimore pitching troubles, as his 9.76 ERA and 2.20 WHIP suggest, and numbers haven't appreciably improved the last two-plus weeks when moved to a relief role for his last three outings. Tellingly, the O's have lost in all eight games in which Morton has appeared this season. Would rather take our chances with the Twins and Simeon Woods Richardson, who has flourished in his two previous starts at target Field (2-0 with a 1.74 ERA and 0.87 WHIP) . Play Twins on Run Line

Pick Made: May 07, 6:40 pm UTC on BetMGM
SpreadMinnesota -1.5 +165
WIN
Unit1.0
+345
21-19 in Last 40 MLB Picks
+383
3-0 in Last 3 MIN ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Happy Charlie Morton Day! The Orioles are 0-8 in his appearances this season and he has a 9.76 ERA. The Orioles' offense looks bad right now, too. The Twins have won 9 of 14 while Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton hit well last night, plus, Royce Lewis is back.

Pick Made: May 07, 2:36 pm UTC on BetMGM
Money LineMinnesota -133
WIN
Unit1.0
+84
4-3 in Last 7 MLB Picks
+310
6-3 in Last 9 BAL ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

If O's were a quasi-serious organization, Charlie Morton would be cut or on the IL, because the 40-year old is cooked. Instead he is starting another game on short rest after another disaster relief outing Sun. His curveball was his money-maker for nearly two decades but league has a .611 SLG off it, and .611 off 4-seam and .682 off sinker. He's bottom 1% of MLB pitchers in fastball run value and breaking ball run value. Byron Buxton is hot and Royce Lewis is actually healthy and Twins are 10-6 at home. Simeon Woods-Richardson is a league-average-ish starter. O's have .601 OPS on road (28th!) with a ridiculous .285 OBP. Struck out 17 times last night with a overly naive lineup that cant field either.

Pick Made: May 07, 12:36 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineMinnesota -133
WIN
Unit0.5
+1676
31-15 in Last 46 MLB Picks
+862
13-6 in Last 19 MLB ML Picks
+1874.25
57-24 in Last 81 BAL ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Minnesota pummeled a bad Baltimore starting pitcher on Tuesday and faces an even worse one today in Charlie Morton, who looks zombified at age 41 and at 0-6 with a 9.76 ERA. GM Mike Elias probably should be fired for how little he did to help the rotation in the offseason. The Birds are now 5-12 away and have lost three straight overall. The Twins have won three in a row.

Pick Made: May 07, 12:11 pm UTC on BetRivers

Best Prop Picks

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Baltimore Orioles
Thursday, Oct 09, 2025
Avatar
RP
Albert Suarez
ForearmOut
Saturday, Oct 04, 2025
Avatar
SP
Justin Armbruester
LatIl
Thursday, Oct 02, 2025
Avatar
RP
Felix Bautista
ShoulderOut
Avatar
SP
Grayson Rodriguez
ElbowOut
Avatar
RP
Chayce McDermott
BackOut
Minnesota Twins
Thursday, Nov 06, 2025
Avatar
LF
Alan Roden
ThumbIl
Wednesday, Oct 08, 2025
Avatar
RF
Matt Wallner
ObliqueIl
Avatar
SP
David Festa
ShoulderIl
Thursday, Oct 02, 2025
Avatar
2B
Luke Keaschall
ThumbOut
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
RP
Daniel Duarte
ElbowIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
38%
13-21, -941
16-20, -770
44%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
29%
5-12, -695
10-6, +54
62%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
40%
6-9, -282
12-12, -433
50%
When Line was +104 to +134
MONEY LINE
When Line was -155 to -125
42%
3-4, -76
2-2, -48
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
41%
5-7, -195
9-6, -38
60%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
23%
3-10, -734
5-8, -534
38%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
35%
5-9, -505
9-8, -115
52%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
16%
1-5, -421
1-3, -263
25%
vs MIN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BAL
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +58
100%
when Charlie Morton starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Simeon Woods Richardson starts
0%
0-5, -500
3-2, +23
60%