This is mostly on the White Sox scoring at all in terms of whether we win ... and I tend to think they don't get more than a run off Astros ace Hunter Brown, who has been dominant in allowing just five earned runs in 37 innings this season. The White Sox's Davis Martin has been decent with a 3.24 ERA and Houston All-Star slugger Yordan Alvarez has been scratched. Winds are blowing out on the South Side but it's also cold. The overall game total is just 7.5 so getting 4.5 seems like a minor gift. Most of the books have this at 4.

Caesar’s. Hunter Brown is on fire to start the season, pitching to a 1.22 ERA. He’s registered 40 strikeouts in 37 innings (over in 4/6 starts), and he’s coming off consecutive 9-strikeout performances in very tough matchups (TOR and KC, both in the bottom five of strikeout rate against righties). The White Sox have been pluckier lately, but still at 24.3% K% over the last over the last two weeks versus righties.