Caesar’s. Simply put, if you’re giving me an outs prop under at plus odds for a pitcher who has failed to clear this line in 4/5 against a patient team (eighth most pitches per plate appearance) that’s also hot at the plate (117 wRC+ versus righties the last two weeks), I’m going to take it.

The Rays have won three in a row while the Padres have lost three of their last four which is normally a situation you want to bet the team that's on the winning streak, but Dylan Cease is pitching for the Padres who won four of his five starts this year and I like him to win again today. Ryan Pepiot has had issues in his last two starts, allowing nine combined runs in 12 innings of work. The Padres bats have fallen to .260 as a team, but I like their winning ways to continue at home, where they're 12-2. Padres to win.