This number feels a little light for Garrett Crochet, who has dominated early in the season with a 1.13 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. Crochet has gone at least 6.0 innings in three of his last four starts. The one time he didn't he lasted 5.2 innings. It's not a big sample size but Crochet has a .202 expected batting average vs. the Mariners in 34 career at-bats. I think he gets to 18 outs against a Seattle lineup that is hitting just .228 on the season.

Already on the Red Sox ML and I think it's quite possible that Garrett Crochet throws five shutout innings today against Seattle, and counterpart Bryan Woo is capable of holding the Sox to 1-2 runs in that span. No weather concerns and not remotely hot in Boston yet.

Seattle burned me Wednesday but getting Garrett Crochet on Thursday -- already appears as if the White Sox got fleeced yet again by the Red Sox for a dominant lefty -- this cheap at Fenway is pretty solid. Seattle is hitting a collective .214 vs. southpaws. The Mariners' Bryan Woo is definitely a good pitcher himself overall but is 0-1 with a 4.85 ERA in two road starts, and I don't think the lineups are comparable. Also the end of a very long trip for Seattle.