Connor Gillispie vs. Clay Holmes. This is a pure weather play for a half unit. I live three hours from NYC and it's so windy I can't open the door. It looks like there is similar weather conditions in NYC with winds around 30 mph. These two pitchers just faced off on on April 2. Gillispie allowed one run over 5.0 innings, while Holmes gave up two in 4.2 innings of work. BetRivers still had a 4.5. Good at 4 or 4.5.

DraftKings/BetMGM. Having failed to finish five full innings in each of his first two starts, I’m skeptical that converted reliever Clay Holmes can pitch into the sixth inning today. He’s allowed eleven men to reach base in 28 plate appearances the second and third times through the order, which is one of the significant adjustments relievers turned starters have to make. And even though the matchup on paper against the Marlins is strong for Holmes, he just faced this lineup last week. I’ll count on Miami being able to create enough traffic on the basepaths to knock Holmes out before the sixth inning. Would bet this down to under 15.5 for a partial unit.