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Mon, Sep 305:10 pm UTCTruist Park
74 F
New York
Mets
NYM
Last 5 ML
W/L89-73
ATS84-75
O/U82-75-5
FINAL SCORE
8
-
7
Atlanta
Braves
ATL
Last 5 ML
W/L89-73
ATS75-86
O/U59-94-9
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
89-73
Win /Loss
89-73
84-75
Spread
75-86
82-75-5
Over / Under
59-94-9
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NYM @ ATL
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
NYM @ ATL
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
NYM @ ATL
Subscribers Only

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8%
PUBLIC
92%
MONEY
14%
PUBLIC
86%
MONEY
Over82%
PUBLIC
Under18%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadN.Y. Mets +1.5 -164
WIN
Unit1.0
+359
12-6 in Last 18 MLB Picks
+2
9-6 in Last 15 MLB ATS Picks
+506.5
26-13-1 in Last 40 NYM ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Both teams will go all-out in Game 1 to avoid having to care in Game 2, but the Braves are holding out Chris Sale for the opener as in an ideal world they don't use him until the Wild-Card Round on Tuesday. To me, that's such a huge break for the Mets they better take advantage. Both Game 1 starting pitchers, Tylor Megill and Spencer Schwellenbach, have been terrific in September. I simply think this is a low-scoring one-run game either way and don't have to care which club wins with this wager if that's the case.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 1:32 pm UTC on FanDuel
Over / UnderUnder 7.5 -102
LOSS
Unit1.0
+400
4-0-1 in Last 5 MLB O/U Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach has dominated the Mets twice and looks great right now. The Mets will have trouble against him again. Tylor Megill has actually thrown pretty well lately and the Mets will be aggressive with their best relievers. This feels like a very low-scoring game.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 2:52 am UTC on DraftKings
Money LineAtlanta -154
LOSS
Unit1.0
+395
43-39 in Last 82 MLB Picks
+308
19-15 in Last 34 MLB ML Picks
+156
10-7 in Last 17 ATL ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

The Braves haven't had to travel this last week at all and have won five of six. The Mets had to fly to Milwaukee and now back to Atlanta and have lost three of four. Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach has dominated the Mets twice this season, including just last week. Mets starter Tylor Megill has been hit really hard by the Braves in the last three seasons, too. It feels like the Braves win the first game and Mets take the second.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 2:46 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

New York Mets
Monday, Dec 08, 2025
Avatar
RP
A.J. Minter
LatQuestionable
Thursday, Nov 13, 2025
Avatar
2B
Jeff McNeil
ShoulderProbable
Friday, Nov 07, 2025
Avatar
SP
Tylor Megill
ElbowOut
Avatar
SP
Dedniel Nunez
ElbowOut
Avatar
P
Christian Scott
ElbowProbable
Wednesday, Oct 22, 2025
Avatar
SS
Francisco Lindor
ElbowProbable
Tuesday, Oct 14, 2025
Avatar
RP
Reed Garrett
ElbowOut
Wednesday, Oct 08, 2025
Avatar
3B
Brett Baty
ObliqueProbable
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
C
Francisco Alvarez
ThumbProbable
Atlanta Braves
Tuesday, Dec 02, 2025
Avatar
RP
Danny Young
ElbowOut
Thursday, Oct 16, 2025
Avatar
P
Didier Fuentes
ShoulderProbable
Sunday, Oct 05, 2025
Avatar
C
Sean Murphy
HipProbable
Thursday, Oct 02, 2025
Avatar
RP
Grant Holmes
ElbowProbable
Avatar
RP
Reynaldo Lopez
ShoulderProbable
Avatar
RP
Joe Jimenez
KneeProbable
Avatar
2B
Ozzie Albies
HandProbable
Avatar
3B
Austin Riley
AbdomenProbable
Avatar
RP
Aaron Bummer
ShoulderProbable
Avatar
RP
Daysbel Hernandez
ShoulderProbable
Avatar
P
Spencer Schwellenbach
ElbowProbable
Avatar
SP
A.J. Smith-Shawver
ElbowOut
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
2B
Vidal Brujan
HipProbable
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