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Mon, Sep 305:10 pm UTCTruist Park
74 F
New York
Mets
NYM
Last 5 ML
W/L89-73
ATS84-75
O/U82-75-5
FINAL SCORE
8
-
7
Atlanta
Braves
ATL
Last 5 ML
W/L89-73
ATS75-86
O/U59-94-9
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
89-73
Win /Loss
89-73
84-75
Spread
75-86
82-75-5
Over / Under
59-94-9
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NYM @ ATL
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
NYM @ ATL
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
NYM @ ATL
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

8%
PUBLIC
92%
MONEY
14%
PUBLIC
86%
MONEY
Over82%
PUBLIC
Under18%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadN.Y. Mets +1.5 -164
WIN
Unit1.0
+359
12-6 Last 18 MLB
+2
9-6 Last 15 MLB ATS
+506.5
26-13-1 Last 40 MLB ATS
Matt's Analysis:

Both teams will go all-out in Game 1 to avoid having to care in Game 2, but the Braves are holding out Chris Sale for the opener as in an ideal world they don't use him until the Wild-Card Round on Tuesday. To me, that's such a huge break for the Mets they better take advantage. Both Game 1 starting pitchers, Tylor Megill and Spencer Schwellenbach, have been terrific in September. I simply think this is a low-scoring one-run game either way and don't have to care which club wins with this wager if that's the case.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 1:32 pm UTC on FanDuel
Over / UnderUnder 7.5 -102
LOSS
Unit1.0
Matt's Analysis:

Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach has dominated the Mets twice and looks great right now. The Mets will have trouble against him again. Tylor Megill has actually thrown pretty well lately and the Mets will be aggressive with their best relievers. This feels like a very low-scoring game.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 2:52 am UTC on DraftKings
Money LineAtlanta -154
LOSS
Unit1.0
+395
43-39 Last 82 MLB
+308
19-15 Last 34 MLB ML
+156
10-7 Last 17 MLB ML
Matt's Analysis:

The Braves haven't had to travel this last week at all and have won five of six. The Mets had to fly to Milwaukee and now back to Atlanta and have lost three of four. Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach has dominated the Mets twice this season, including just last week. Mets starter Tylor Megill has been hit really hard by the Braves in the last three seasons, too. It feels like the Braves win the first game and Mets take the second.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 2:46 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

New York Mets
Thursday, May 07, 2026
Avatar
RP
Joey Gerber
FingerIl
Wednesday, May 06, 2026
Avatar
RP
A.J. Minter
LatIl
Sunday, May 03, 2026
Avatar
2B
Ronny Mauricio
ThumbIl
Thursday, Apr 30, 2026
Avatar
CF
Luis Robert
BackIl
Tuesday, Apr 28, 2026
Avatar
SP
Kodai Senga
BackIl
Monday, Apr 27, 2026
Avatar
1B
Jorge Polanco
WristIl
Friday, Apr 24, 2026
Avatar
SS
Francisco Lindor
CalfIl
Wednesday, Apr 15, 2026
Avatar
1B
Jared Young
KneeIl
Saturday, Mar 14, 2026
Avatar
SP
Justin Hagenman
RibsIl
Thursday, Feb 19, 2026
Avatar
RP
Reed Garrett
ElbowIl
Avatar
SP
Tylor Megill
ElbowIl
Avatar
SP
Dedniel Nunez
ElbowIl
Atlanta Braves
Wednesday, May 06, 2026
Avatar
SS
Jorge Mateo
ThumbProbable
Sunday, May 03, 2026
Avatar
RF
Ronald Acuna Jr.
HamstringIl
Tuesday, Apr 28, 2026
Avatar
P
Spencer Schwellenbach
ElbowIl
Monday, Apr 27, 2026
Avatar
2B
Ha-seong Kim
FingerIl
Thursday, Apr 23, 2026
Avatar
SP
Dylan Dodd
BackIl
Saturday, Apr 11, 2026
Avatar
RP
Danny Young
ElbowIl
Friday, Apr 03, 2026
Avatar
SP
A.J. Smith-Shawver
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Mar 25, 2026
Avatar
SP
Hurston Waldrep
ElbowIl
Tuesday, Mar 24, 2026
Avatar
SP
Joey Wentz
KneeIl
Thursday, Feb 19, 2026
Avatar
RP
Joe Jimenez
KneeIl
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