Simulation Picks

SPREAD

WAS @ CHC

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MONEYLINE

WAS @ CHC

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OVER / UNDER

WAS @ CHC

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PUBLIC

92%

MONEY

12%

PUBLIC

88%

MONEY

Over89%

PUBLIC

Under11%

Over

MONEY

Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Total Pitcher StrikeoutsJavier Assad Under 4.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -130

LOSS

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Erik Kuselias

Smart Money

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Erik's Analysis:

This is not 3.5 pretty much everywhere but I can still find a 4.5 at juice that isn’t crazy

Pick Made: Sep 19, 10:39 pm UTC on BetRivers

Total Pitcher StrikeoutsJavier Assad Under 4.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -130

LOSS

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Alex Selesnick

PropStarz

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+2918.5

207-142 in Last 349 MLB Player Props Picks

Alex's Analysis:

This is.a brutal matchup for Javier Assad against an extremely stingy Nationals lineup. I also love the fact that Joey Gallo is not in the lineup. Assad has just 2 strikeouts in 24 at bats against the Nats lineup.

Pick Made: Sep 19, 10:11 pm UTC on BetRivers

Point SpreadChi. Cubs -1.5 +122

LOSS

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Matt Snyder

Stick With What Works

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+396

16-14 in Last 30 MLB ATS Picks

+62

3-3 in Last 6 CHC ATS Picks

Matt's Analysis:

Nats starter Patrick Corbin has a 6.58 road ERA and has given up a .347/.388/.551 line to opposing hitters when he isn't at home. Cubs starter Javier Assad has a 2.24 home ERA. The Cubs are the better team and swept the Nats just over two weeks ago. The most likely scenario is a big Cubs win.

Pick Made: Sep 19, 1:29 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Washington Nationals

Friday, Dec 12, 2025

Josiah Gray

ElbowProbable

Thursday, Nov 06, 2025

Trevor Williams

ElbowOut

Drew Millas

FingerProbable

Davidjohn Herz

ElbowOut

Wednesday, Oct 08, 2025

Keibert Ruiz

ConcussionProbable

MacKenzie Gore

AnkleProbable

Cole Henry

BackProbable

Chicago Cubs

Friday, Nov 07, 2025

Justin Steele

ElbowOut

Thursday, Oct 16, 2025

Kevin Alcantara

AbdomenProbable