Two stellar offensive teams so wouldn't say I'm mega-confident here, but I generally feel obligated to play Under a double-digit total if weather isn't a huge factor -- and it won't be tonight at Fenway. Both Ryne Nelson and Brayan Bello have been pitching quite well of late. We push, we push but this is our only 10 on the board, although the others may well get there.

The Diamondbacks are trying to push Ryne Nelson out of the starting rotation but they would be crazy to leave him out. Since July 1st he started eight games and the Diamondbacks have won seven of them. He's an extremely effective starter, better than Jordan Montgomery. Since July 1st he's been better than any Arizona pitcher. So now we have a little competition game with Nelson against everybody else for his job. I kind of like that. Brayan Bello has given the Red Sox wins in his last five starts with his last two being the best allowing one run to the Orioles and Rangers. This is one where the pitchers will shine. Boston has a losing record at home. Diamondbacks to win.