Houston has winning momentum once again on a current four game winning streak, and will get to see lefty James Paxton of the Red Sox. Houston is eighth in MLB in batting average against left handed pitching. Additionally, Paxton is a high regression candidate today as he is coming off his first quality start since June 16th. Take the Astros

Hunter Brown is emerging as a true ace and I expect him to handle this Sox lineup, Astros are 8-4 in his starts since June 1, winning all 8 by 2+ runs with a +19 RD in those outings. Brown has a 2.35 ERA in that span allowing just a .627 OPS. James Paxton isn't loving life back in the AL, allowing 11 H and 5 ER in 10 1/3 with the BoSox. Paxton has allowed 12 HR and 27 XBH in 11 career GS at Fenway (.485 SLG). Jose Altuve can set the table against him (career .966 OPS in 33 ABs). Sox seem to be fading; rotation limping and relying on a lot of career years in their lineup.