The Royals are red hot with a four-game win streak and the hottest hitter on the planet for the last 13 games in Bobby Witt who's hitting .560 in the last 2 weeks. But three of those wins were against the White Sox and most of the Witt damage was against weak pitching. This bet is about Tarik Skubal who's won two straight despite the team pouting because management folded on the season. But Skubal’s going, attitude adjustment required. Tigers hang tough today get the win.

Excellent pitching matchup with Tarik Skubal vs. Cole Ragans. I have the Royals winning 54 percent of simulations, which implies a moneyline price of -116. Skubal is good, but the Tigers' offense isn't, as they rank just 25th in MLB in team wOBA against left-handed pitching. I'm on the Royals at even money.