The Pirates are playing well lately and won last night at Houston but Bailey Falter is pitching and they've lost six of his last seven starts. He only gave up more than three runs two times during that run but he's definitely the weak link. Hunter Brown is already one of the strongest pitchers in the National League and he's been dominant in his last three starts, all Astro wins. He's only allowed three earned runs in his last three starts. Dominant. He takes care of the Pirates today, Astros run line.

If we push, we push. Tough loss for Houston last night but it was clearly at a starting pitching disadvantage vs. Paul Skenes. Thus, facing Bailey Falter (4-7, 4.08 ERA) tonight will be like skipping through a meadow with Mary Poppins comparatively speaking. Counterpart Hunter Brown has a team-leading 12 quality starts this year. since May 22, he’s gone 8-2 with a 2.10 ERA with 77 strikeouts, a .217 opponent batting average and a 1.08 WHIP. If some book offers me O/U 17.5 outs on Brown, I'll probably take it but as of now no dice.