Perhaps a sense of urgency for the Orioles on a season-high four-game losing streak. Cole Irvin might be starting to regress on the mound but has a 2.83 ERA at home. I do like Baltimore's lineup today a lot better than yesterday's when it managed only two runs in a loss. Brandon Hyde has moved some guys around, including Gunnar Henderson from leadoff to cleanup. Cleveland, meanwhile, is sitting arguably its third-most important hitter in Josh Naylor (20 HR, 58 RBI, .893 OPS). Pitcher Logan Allen has a 6.49 ERA at night in 2024 compared to 2.49 during the day.

Surprised we are getting 17.5 considering Irvin has failed to go 6+ IP in 10/14 appearances, including five of his last six games. I'm even more surprised by the price point and getting plus money considering this would also qualify as a tough matchup against a Guardians lineup thats been good all year and ranks in the top 10 in nearly every offensive category. Cleveland has been tough on lefties and Irvin also appears to be a regression candidate.