A bigger price here than we normally like to lay on the Run Line but it looks a worthwhile risk. The Pale Hose are almost back on their '62 Mets-like pace after losing their 10th in a row (and 14 in 15) on Saturday to the Brew Crew. The loss yesterday was the first by fewer than 2 runs in this latest skid, so usually we haven't had to worry about the Run Line backfiring in regard to the Sox. Doubt rookie Nick Nastrini (9.92 ERA) helps much on Sunday, as it looks more like a chance for Freddy Peralta to improve his stats on the Milwaukee side, and the Brew Crew to generate more momentum out of the weekend. Play Brewers on Run Line

Awfully good price for Lenyn Sosa considering he's hitting .167 on the year and .183 in his big-league career. He was just recalled from Triple-A Charlotte for some reason. I know there's no crying in baseball but I'm getting to the "teared-up point" with these daily White Sox lineups.

Nick Nastrini, with his ERA approaching 10, has allowed 4 HR in just 16 1/3 innings of work. I figure Turang - who crushes righties like this - gets a few cracks at him, even if he's chased relatively early, and then mostly righties in the pen, anyway. All 3 of Turang's HR this season off righties, and he has a .951 OPS in day games. If this becomes a blowout, great chance for him to try to hit one out and ambush something. At 13-1 it's worth a dabble to me against a starter who has struggled this mightily

I expect the Brew Crew to have plenty of traction on the base paths putting guys even toward the back-end of the lineup vs this starter, so if Turang bats leadoff vs a bad righty (as expected) I still see run production chances (drove one in Fri off tough righty). Has 7 in his last 15 games, continues to bat .300 on the season, and hits .368 in day games and has an .801 OPS vs righties (.175 higher than vs lefties). Of his 21 RBIs, 17 have come vs righties. The Pale Hose starter has been getting shelled early, allowing 11 ER through 8 IP in the first 2 innings.

We're playing the run line (-1.5, -145) even with the juice here for the Brewers because the most likely outcome is overwhelmingly a Brewers blowout. They're exponentially better than the hapless White Sox, who are 5-23 with a -82 run differential on the road and have now lost 14 of 15 with a -48 run differential. The Brewers have won 7 or 9 and are 17-10 at home with a powerful offense that gets to deal with a starter (Nick Nastrini) who walks more than he strikes out. The Brewers counter with ace Freddy Peralta. Bloodbath coming.

Fairly steep runline price but hard to see the inept White Sox doing much of anything off Freddy Peralta. I wouldn't choose Pale Hose starter Nick Nastrini (0-4, 9.92 ERA) last for my slow-pitch softball team. Seriously, I'd rather play down a guy and let the opposing team be on the power play all game. Dude should not be in the Show. But it's Sunday and weird things happen on Sunday so watch our boy throw a no-no. If so, Nastrini would supplant Philip Humber as the worst White Sox pitcher ever with a no-hitter; Humber's was a perfect game in 2012. I think we are probably safe from worrying about this.

The Pale Hose kept things close over the weekend because Fedde and Crochet were on the mound. When anyone else starts, it's gets real dicey. CHI is 10-15 when they start with a -18 RD; they are 5-29 with a -117 when anyone else starts. And when Nick Nastrini (9.92 ERA) starts they are 0-4 ATS with a -19 RD. Freddy Peralta has settled down big time in his last 2 starts after a rough patch. Pale Hose 9-19 ATS as a road dog.