Braves have a quality starter tonight and a HUGE bullpen edge. They will score runs. Let’s play that their runs will be enough

Justin Steele got rocked by the Pirates in each of his last two starts, including surrendering five home runs. That's a problem coming into a matchup with Marcell Ozuna, who has 14 home runs and an active 14-game hitting streak as well as better numbers against lefties than righties. He homered in both games of Monday's doubleheader before a 'quiet' 1-for-4 game yesterday and he's only +250 to homer today, but I like taking the Over on his total bases prop instead.

Justin Steele will be making his fourth start of the season and will be doing so against a Braves lineup that is beginning to resemble the elite offense that ranked 1st in virtually every hitting category last season. Steele has yet to throw for over 88 pitches in an outing and possesses a career high ERA and a career low Whiff Rate. He'll have his work cut out for himself against Atlanta.