Don't love this matchup but also don't think the Rangers should be getting the +1.5 at home so we'll play a little out of principle. Cleveland just lost three of four at the awful White Sox over the weekend and tonight's pitcher, Tanner Bibbe, had his worst outing of the season last time out. A few Rangers have good if limited splits off him. Texas was embarrassed over the weekend in a home sweep by Colorado but that only makes me like the Rangers more in this spot because they certainly won't rest any healthy key guys after that. The Texas bullpen is in very good shape at least.

This is a steep price to pay and I typically avoid this much juice, however I am working with a significant edge here. Lorenzen has been a reliable arm for the Rangers and gone 6 IP in four consecutive starts, however his K metrics are not pretty and suggest hes running hot on strikeouts, despite a 19.2% K rate. Lorenzen also gets an extremely tough draw against the Guardians who have excellent career numbers facing him. Shop around as there are significantly better numbers on the market.