Tampa Bay has lost seven of its last 10 games. The Brewers have also dropped their last two, but currently own the second-best average against righties, hitting .274 at home with a .795 OPS. Tampa Bay is hitting .244 with a .672 OPS this season, but their bullpen has really struggled, owning the 4th worst bullpen ERA thus far. The Brewers just allowed a 30 runs to New York over their last two games but are still the better team in this matchup.

Simply a case of the wrong team getting +1.5 in my opinion and we won't have the option much longer because only a few books have the Brewers as runline dogs. The Rays have just one win in their past seven and were embarrassingly swept over the weekend at the White Sox. At some point, having little money to spend was going to catch up to Tampa Bay and it has in 2024.