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Wed, Sep 2710:40 pm UTCCitizens Bank Park
62 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Pittsburgh
Pirates
PIT
Last 5 ML
W/L75-86
ATS63-62
O/U69-53-3
FINAL SCORE
6
-
7
Philadelphia
Phillies
PHI
Last 5 ML
W/L89-72
ATS55-69
O/U56-60-8
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
75-86
Win /Loss
89-72
63-62
Spread
55-69
69-53-3
Over / Under
56-60-8
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
PIT @ PHI
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MONEYLINE
PIT @ PHI
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OVER / UNDER
PIT @ PHI
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59%
PUBLIC
41%
MONEY
68%
PUBLIC
32%
MONEY
Over35%
PUBLIC
Under65%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LinePittsburgh +118
LOSS
Unit1.0
+947
57-45 in Last 102 MLB ML Picks
Bob's Analysis:

Philadelphia is resting a bunch of players like Trea Tuner, JT Realmuto, Kyle Schwarber, and Nick Castellanos. The Pirates are hitting .285 with a .793 OPS against lefties on the road in September. Pittsburgh John Oviedo comes off six shutout innings in Wrigley and allowed a combined six earned runs in his last four road starts.

Pick Made: Sep 27, 8:45 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderUnder 8 -110
LOSS
Unit0.5
+407.5
15-9-2 in Last 26 MLB O/U Picks
+405
8-3 in Last 11 PHI O/U Picks
Matt's Analysis:

We played Pirates RL last night assuming the Phils would rest a bunch of guys and they are: Nick Castellanos, Alec Bohm, J.T. Realmuto, Kyle Schwarber and Trea Turner are all not starting. Just out of principle then, we'll throw a half unit on the Under as the Phils who are in the lineup likely will be hitting through a Coors Light-induced fog. Actually, the Phils feel more like a Natty Light group. Winds are apparently blowing in slightly.

Pick Made: Sep 27, 8:01 pm UTC on DraftKings
Money LinePittsburgh +122
LOSS
Unit1.0
+927
107-82 in Last 189 MLB ML Picks
+468
9-4 in Last 13 PHI ML Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The Phillies celebrated in a big way after clinching a postseason berth in walkoff fashion. Even though they have the starting pitcher edge with Ranger Suarez facing Johan Oviedo, I like the Pirates at plus-money. They're 16-10 in their last 26 games and won't have to face any of Philadelphia's top relievers. Oviedo has allowed one run over his last two starts, covering 11 innings.

Pick Made: Sep 27, 5:38 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LinePittsburgh +122
LOSS
Unit0.25
+856
28-19 in Last 47 MLB ML Picks
+350
7-4 in Last 11 PIT ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Just a sprinkle here, but the Phillies clinched a playoff berth on Tuesday night and are pretty well locked into the four seed. As such, they partied it up Tuesday night and didn't look like they were going to hold back much. They'll be holding plenty of the regulars out of the lineup Wednesday, so I'm expecting a Pirates win.

Pick Made: Sep 27, 2:55 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadPittsburgh +1.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+1351
86-51 in Last 137 MLB ATS Picks
+724
44-27 in Last 71 PHI ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I might come back and play Pirates moneyline tomorrow once we see lineups -- the Phillies are now locked into the NL's No. 4 seed so wouldn't they rest some guys Wednesday night after a little partying tonight?

Pick Made: Sep 27, 2:20 am UTC on DraftKings

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Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates
Sunday, May 18, 2025
Avatar
CF
Jase Bowen
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
P
Derek Diamond
UndisclosedIl
Thursday, May 15, 2025
Avatar
3B
Malcom Nunez
UndisclosedIl
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
Avatar
1B
Enmanuel Valdez
ShoulderIl
Saturday, May 10, 2025
Avatar
1B
Endy Rodriguez
FingerIl
Wednesday, May 07, 2025
Avatar
2B
Nick Gonzales
AnkleIl
Avatar
P
Cristofer Melendez
UndisclosedIl
Saturday, May 03, 2025
Avatar
RP
Justin Lawrence
ElbowIl
Thursday, Apr 24, 2025
Avatar
RP
Tim Mayza
ShoulderIl
Thursday, Apr 17, 2025
Avatar
RP
Dauri Moreta
ElbowIl
Thursday, Apr 03, 2025
Avatar
SP
Carlson Reed
BackIl
Monday, Mar 31, 2025
Avatar
SP
Jared Jones
ElbowIl
Monday, Mar 03, 2025
Avatar
SP
Johan Oviedo
LatIl
Philadelphia Phillies
Sunday, May 18, 2025
Avatar
RP
Jose Ruiz
NeckIl
Friday, May 16, 2025
Avatar
SP
Aaron Nola
AnkleIl
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
Avatar
3B
Matt Kroon
UndisclosedIl
Sunday, Apr 13, 2025
Avatar
1B
Carson Taylor
UndisclosedIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
47%
74-83, +819
88-69, -158
56%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
45%
36-43, +597
48-31, +122
60%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
44%
56-71, +756
66-42, +81
61%
When Line was -102 to +128
MONEY LINE
When Line was -148 to -118
37%
19-32, -986
25-17, +179
59%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
43%
32-41, +500
41-23, +173
64%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
32%
14-29, -692
26-15, +529
63%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
46%
61-69, +183
71-51, -164
58%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
50%
10-10, +474
15-6, +643
71%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PIT
50%
2-2, +78
2-2, -85
50%
when Johan Oviedo starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Ranger Suarez starts
41%
13-18, -241
12-9, +169
57%
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