Riley Greene has been a strong play whenever a right-handed pitcher is on the mound. He's hitting .310 with 12 of his 13 home runs against right-handed pitchers this season, while hitting below the Mendoza line (.197) against lefties. Greene is just 1-for-5 in his career against Jameson Taillon, but that one hit was a home run. Despite having a sub-4.00 ERA, Taillon leads the league with 16 home runs allowed this season. In 6 road starts, Taillon has given up 10 home runs, and opposing batters have an .847 OPS against him. We set the line at +370 for Greene to homer, so +430 offers strong value.

Expect normalcy to return to the Chicago Cubs lineup today, as they scored just one run in yesterday’s series opener against the Detroit Tigers. Of course they saw ace Tarik Skull, and still managed eight team hits. Ian Happ has six hits over his last four games, and at least one hit in eight out of his last ten games. Play his total bases over.