Bryce Miller is 2-0 this year vs Houston but the third time around should be tougher. The lineup looks a bit different than the last one he faced and I think it's tough to throw a heavy mix of fastballs and continue being this effective (12.1 innings, no runs vs Houston). Framber Valdez is on the mound for Houston, coming off a blowup outing vs the Royals. I'm betting he bounces back and finishes the season on a high note, against a Mariners team with just a .661 OPS vs lefties this month. Plus, backing Valdez up is a well-rested bullpen, while the Mariners had to use multiple top relievers last night.

The Astros only -115 with Framber Valdez on the mound and every regular in the lineup? Guess we have to. The loser here could be in big WC trouble, especially if it's Seattle. Stellar setup man Matt Brash was used for two innings last night so he might not be available for the M's. Bryce Miller starts and has had a fine rookie year but has a 5.49 ERA this month as Miller is WAY past his career high in IP. The Astros have been there and done that so many other times in important spots like this. Their bullpen is in better shape. Half unit.