I have the Braves as -130 home favorites (56.5%) with Yonny Chirinos against Logan Webb. Webb has shown performance closer to the league average when playing away from home with a .316 wOBA. Now, he is up against the best offensive team, facing a significant negative park shift individually. While Chirinos might not be an ace, he remains serviceable against a team in the bottom third for right-handed pitching due to their high strikeout rate. I'm on the Braves at this short number.

This is a pretty cheap price on the best team in baseball. I realize Atlanta is facing Logan Webb, but the Braves have won four in a row and seven of eight. They haven't given up a run in their last three games. My model says Atlanta wins 66% of the time, so you're getting value at this number.

I know that the Giants have their ace on the mound with Logan Webb, but the Braves offense is amazing. Getting the Braves at this line is a gift, no matter the scenario. Webb is a great pitcher but the Giants offense has been ice cold and won't be able to give him much run support. Expect the Braves to win their seventh straight home game.