I know the Padres have yet to stack wins together like everyone thought they would, but they are 7-3 over their past 10 games. They will face lefty Logan Allen, and the Padres hit lefties extremely well. Allen is due for a bad start, and against a top flight lineup tonight could be that night. The Padres will start 23-year-old Ryan Weathers, a former first round draft pick who made his major league debut at 20. Cleveland has been below average versus lefties. My model has the Padres winning at a 67% clip (-200).

We’ve got a battle of lefties tonight in San Diego tonight with the two best Under teams facing each other. The Padres have won the first two meetings and while I do like Logan Allen to pitch well, I like the Under better. Allen has been at his best on the road with Cleveland winning three of his four road starts and all four staying Under. Cleveland has won his last three starts. Under is the top play here.