That Milwaukee leaves a lot to be desired right now with the likes of Wily Adames and Jesse Winker on the injured list. Toronto batters rank 4th in the AL in home AVG (.260), while also 4th in home OBP (.333), 7th in home OPS (.726), and 10th in home SLG (.393). The pitching staff ranks 1st among AL teams with a .205 home opponents' average. Southpaw Yusei Kikuchi is on the mound and the Brewers are last in OPS vs. southpaws.

Brewers right-hander Adrian Houser hasn't given up a run over his last two starts, covering 11 1/3 innings. Houser has good stuff and ranks slightly above average in my ratings. Toronto lefty Yusei Kikuchi started the year on fire but has been hit hard in four of his last five games. The Brewers are exactly what Kikuchi needs, a well below-average offense versus left-handed pitching. Milwaukee ranks 29th out of 30 teams with a .615 OPS. Take the Under.

The Brewers are in a tough spot on the road here. They only have a .616 OPS versus left-handed pitchers and they are currently without one of their best right-handed bats in Willy Adames (concussion). Starting for the Blue Jays will be southpaw Yusei Kikuchi, who has a 1.19 WHIP at home since joining the Blue Jays prior to last season. For comparison, his WHIP on the road is 1.72. Don’t expect the Brewers to score enough to win this matchup.