Bryce Miller's been mighty impressive for the Mariners in his first three starts, but he's yet to face a truly dangerous lineup. Even the Houston Astros have been below-average at the plate this year. He'll get his first major test in the form of the Braves. The kid's got a bright future, but tonight could be his "Welcome to the Show" moment. Atlanta's winning in 67% of my model's simulations.

Friday game. Rookie Bryce Miller has been historically good in his first three starts for Seattle, but Braves counterpart Bryce Elder -- first all-Bryce starting pitching matchup? -- has been about as dominant, and Atlanta's lineup is vastly superior to anything Miller has seen thus far. Mariners star Julio Rodriguez, the 2022 AL Rookie of the Year, is in a major sophomore slump. The Braves won't be this cheap at home all that often.