This is a battle between the top two teams in the American League East. The Rays will have a significant advantage in the starting pitching department, which is why I like them to win this game. They will start Shane McClanahan, who has allowed two or fewer runs in each of his seven starts. The Orioles will roll with Kyle Gibson, who only has an 18.5 percent strikeout rate for his career. That mark is at 16.0 percent this season, which has contributed to his 4.61 ERA and 4.50 FIP. Don’t expect him to be able to slow down a Rays lineup that has scored the most runs in baseball.

The Rays rank second in runs scored per game, while the Orioles rank fourth. The Over has cashed in seven of the past 10 meetings. Even though Shane McClanahan is pitching for Tampa Bay, I'm projecting another higher-scoring game. The Over is cashing in 72 percent of my simulations.