The Red Sox have played four games this season and there have been at least 13 runs scored in each of them. All four games were played at hitter-friendly Fenway Park. Last season, they scored the sixth-most runs at home in baseball. The Pirates should also be able to score plenty in this game with Nick Pivetta starting for the Red Sox. Over the last two seasons, he has a 5.07 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP at home, compared to a 4.04 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP on the road.

The over has hit in all four of the Red Sox games averaging 15.8 runs per game. Fenway Park is an easy place for scoring runs. Both starting pitchers should be giving up a lot of runs. In Roansy Contreras' one start against the Red Sox last season, he allowed four runs. Nick Pivetta posted a 4.56 ERA last season. This game should feature a lot of offense. Take the over.