I haven’t seen Jacob deGrom win too many big games this season, but he’s got no choice tonight. He has to deliver, despite the Mets losing three of his last four starts. The weak A’s lineup recently clubbed him for five runs. It was a must-win against the Braves in his last start and he gave up three runs in a 5-2 loss. Now the Mets are playing for their season. Blake Snell has pitched well over his last four starts, allowing two runs combined, but the Mets beat him 11-5 in June. The 2021 deGrom deserves a 5.5 total, but not the 2022 deGrom. Four of his last five have gone over. The Over looks like the top play here.

Wow, Friday was just a giant kick in the you know. Kinda symbolized my last month or so. COVID? Sure. Hurricane damage? Bingo. Memphis blowing a 19-point fourth quarter lead? Hug me. Max Scherzer looking like Max ... I don't know was there a Three Stooge named Max? Just overall disaster. These things happen. Why am on SL and not with Leo on a yacht. I personally dislike the Mets so part of me wants to be wrong here, but Jacob deGrom ... I doubt it. Again, though, I may have the kavorka.

No, I don't think the Mets are dead yet or "cooked" or anything like that, but this has set up really well for the Padres. Jacob deGrom allowed at least three runs in each of his last four starts, pitching to a 6.00 ERA in that span and it wasn't exactly against a murderer's row -- the Cubs, Pirates and A's were in there. On the flip side, Padres starter Blake Snell had a 1.76 ERA with 55 strikeouts in 41 innings in his last seven starts. Plus, the Padres didn't have to use any of their best relievers in Game 1. The Padres are really well setup for the upset sweep here.