Gerrit Cole has a 5.48 ERA in his four starts against the Red Sox this year, all of which easily exceeded 7.5 runs. His main fault against the Red Sox is that he's been very home-run prone, allowing at least one per game and a total of seven. Rich Hill has yet to face the Yankees this season, but he's struggled to limit his opponents' runs lately. The over has hit in four straight games between these two teams at Yankee Stadium. Recently, Yankees games have been high scoring, as at least eight runs have been scored in nine of their last 10 games. Admittedly, the weather isn't ideal in New York tonight, but I'll still take advantage of a 7.5 at even money.

Rich Hill has really struggled this season but this is his first matchup against the Yankees. Gerrit Cole has really struggled against the Red Sox this season pitching just 1 quality start in 4 opportunities. The Yankees bullpen has been a bit better ranked 11th to the Red Sox 19th but neither bullpen has been great lately as we saw yesterday. The last 3 games between these teams has hit this over and the over has hit in 11 of the 16 matchups this season.