loading...
Fri 09/23 | 11:05 PM UTC | Bronx
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Boston Red Sox 72-78, -1391 ML
BOS +1.5-105
BOS +210
Over 7.5+105
N.Y. Yankees 92-58, -337 ML
NYY -1.5-115
NYY -260
Under 7.5-125

Expert Picks

MLB | Boston 4 @ N.Y. Yankees 5 | 09/23 | 11:05 PM UTC

OVER 7.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Gerrit Cole has a 5.48 ERA in his four starts against the Red Sox this year, all of which easily exceeded 7.5 runs. His main fault against the Red Sox is that he's been very home-run prone, allowing at least one per game and a total of seven. Rich Hill has yet to face the Yankees this season, but he's struggled to limit his opponents' runs lately. The over has hit in four straight games between these two teams at Yankee Stadium. Recently, Yankees games have been high scoring, as at least eight runs have been scored in nine of their last 10 games. Admittedly, the weather isn't ideal in New York tonight, but I'll still take advantage of a 7.5 at even money.

author-image

Allie O'Neill

Allie-Bama
+514 18-11 IN LAST 29 MLB PICKS

Season Splits

72-78, -1391 ML
92-58, -337 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
48%
72-77, -1291
91-58, -379
61%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
46%
35-40, -500
53-22, +719
70%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
38%
29-46, -1187
84-48, -182
63%
When Line was +181 to +211
MONEY LINE
When Line was -253 to -223
0%
0-0, 0
10-3, +120
76%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
41%
19-27, -413
51-20, +684
71%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
37%
22-37, -1241
25-21, -499
54%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
40%
15-22, -449
47-26, -179
64%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
48%
55-58, -826
67-42, -40
61%
vs NYY
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
37%
6-10, -256
10-6, +32
62%
when Rich Hill starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Gerrit Cole starts
52%
12-11, -106
19-11, -203
63%