The Under is 3-0-1 when the Twins face a leftie. KC's Daniel Lynch is looking to build off his five-inning shutout against the LA Dodgers last week. KC is a bottom six team in runs per game this season averaging 3.89 and have averaged two runs per contest over their last three games. The Twins Tyler Mahle had a solid outing last game tossing six scoreless innings, but that was against the struggling Angels. Some possible regression from the Twins bats after putting up nine runs last night. Play the Under eight (-120).

Matinee series finale on Wednesday, and my model has the Royals covering the runline (-140) in 67 percent of simulations behind lefty pitcher Daniel Lynch, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in six of his past seven starts and has a 3.86 ERA in 14 innings this year vs. the Twins. Minnesota is 2-5 in its past seven Wednesday games.