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Tue 07/26 | 11:10 PM UTC | Flushing
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Yankees 102-68, -676 ML
NYY -1.5+143
NYY -115
Over 8+100
N.Y. Mets 102-62, +822 ML
NYM +1.5-170
NYM -105
Under 8-120

Expert Picks

MLB | N.Y. Yankees 3 @ N.Y. Mets 6 | 07/26 | 11:10 PM UTC

N.Y. Mets +1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Bit pricy at -170, but the Yankees just put Giancarlo Stanton on the injured list so clearly the Mets' chances of covering +1.5 if not winning outright got better as the NYM pitchers can work around Aaron Judge a bit easier. Taijuan Walker is on the mound for the home side, and he has given up one run or fewer in five of his last seven starts and three straight outings at home. Walker has a 1.89 ERA in 19 innings in July and a 1.50 overall home ERA in 36 innings. Yanks lefty Jordan Montgomery is winless in his last six appearances.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+6018 368-212-1 IN LAST 581 MLB PICKS
+1063 21-8 IN LAST 29 NYY ATS PICKS
+678 14-6 IN LAST 20 NYM ATS PICKS

Season Splits

102-68, -676 ML
102-62, +822 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
68%
66-31, +735
59-37, +875
61%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
60%
29-19, +24
29-17, +230
63%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
68%
62-28, +558
13-14, +147
48%
When Line was -128 to +102
MONEY LINE
When Line was -120 to +110
83%
5-1, +318
10-8, +127
55%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
61%
25-16, -153
3-4, -110
42%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
63%
23-13, +383
19-16, +185
54%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
66%
14-7, +69
13-12, -2
52%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
76%
10-3, +224
12-3, +603
80%
vs NYM
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYY
0%
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
0%
when Jordan Montgomery starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Taijuan Walker starts
47%
9-10, -497
9-7, +68
56%