Mariners starter Logan Gilbert has a 10-3 record with a 2.80 ERA, 15th in MLB. Gilbert has two starts vs the Rangers this season, he pitched a total of 12.2 innings and only allowed one total run and the Mariners won both games. The Mariners have torched the Rangers bullpen in the first two games of this series scoring nine runs over the eight innings against Rangers relievers. In Spencer Howard's 11 career starts for the Rangers, he has a 1-3 record with a ridiculously high 9.18 ERA. Mariners should easily extend their win streak to 13 games.

Gilbert has been dominant this season and allowed just 1 ER in 12 IP to the Rangers. Spencer Howard will go as deep as possible, but this will end up being mostly a bullpen game for the Rangers again and their bullpen has struggled at 22nd in the past 30 days. The Mariners have won 12 in a row now and they have the best bullpen in the league the past 30 days. I think they sort of see a finish line too with the All-Star break coming up so they only need to put together a couple more wins. Carlos Santana and JP Crawford are both back in the lineup. I like the Mariners to stay hot.

The Mariners have won 12 straight and are in line for an AL wild-card berth. They have Logan Gilbert on the mound Saturday, and the Mariners have won four straight behind him, and 13 of his 18 starts. It has been a fun year for him, as he has a 2.89 ERA and is 25-1 to win the AL Cy Young Award. Texas has lost four of its last six games. Rangers starter Spencer Howard has allowed 12 runs over his three starts. Mariners to win.

I realize Seattle has won 12 straight games, but that's exactly why you're getting such a good price on the Rangers. Mariners starter Logan Gilbert has given up four earned runs in two of his last three starts and hasn't gone beyond six innings since May. My simulations say Texas wins almost 50 percent of the time, so you're getting good value at this number.