The Rays have dominated the Red Sox of late, winning five of six meetings over the last 10 days. The lone loss occurred on July 4, when Boston RHP Kutter Crawford recorded eight strikeouts over 5 1/3 scoreless innings of relief. However, there’s a difference between starting the game and coming out of the bullpen. Add in the road element and I’ll back Tampa Bay to complete a four-game sweep.

The Red Sox have won only four of their last 16 games at Tropicana Field, and I like those struggles to continue Thursday in the finale of this four-game series. Boston will start rookie right-hander Kutter Crawford; this is his third start and he's walked 15 and allowed five homers in 30 innings this season. Over the last 10 games, Boston sports a team ERA of 5.52. Rays starter Drew Rasmussen won't go deep, but he's been dominant in July with a 1.04 ERA in two starts. Lay the reasonable price.