Really my only reserve about playing the Rays at this number is how the Reds have hit against lefties lately. However, Shane McClanahan has mowed everyone down regardless of how they’re hitting against lefties. He is probably the most consistent pitcher in the league this season, he has yet to allow more than 3 ER in a start and he has pitched 10 straight quality starts. He is also taking on a Reds team that is weary from a doubleheader yesterday while the Rays were in Cincinnati waiting. Luis Castillo is more than capable of throwing a gem, and I honestly even think he could keep this game close a lot longer than I am hoping. But as long as the Reds bullpen gets 1-2 innings, we should be good here. The Rays bats have also woken up after a couple series against division rivals. Winning low scoring games is what the Rays do, so I am fine with the juice on the Rays right now.

I am going to pop this Friday line now because I think it's crazy low, but it's active at Caesars and all the other books (only -130 at DraftKings). I do believe it will rise, but it's smart to take advantage of lookahead lines if you can. As of this writing, the Reds are in the midst of a doubleheader, so that's obviously going to tax not only the bullpen but the hitters. The Rays are off today (Thursday) and start AL Cy Young betting favorite Shane McClanahan (9-3, 1.74 ERA), who has allowed just eight earned runs in his last 10 starts spanning 66 innings. Yes, Cincinnati's Luis Castillo can be excellent, but I have to take this price against a tired team even at home. Under 8 runs might be wise too.