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Tue 07/05 | 10:40 PM UTC | Miami
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
L.A. Angels 51-67, -2332 ML
LAA +1.5-178
LAA +140
Over 7+105
Miami Marlins 52-66, -1744 ML
MIA -1.5+150
MIA -165
Under 7-125

Expert Picks

MLB | L.A. Angels 1 @ Miami 2 | 07/05 | 10:40 PM UTC

Miami -145

WIN

ANALYSIS: I think Sandy Alcantara is my favorite starter in MLB, and part of that can be attributed to Marlins manager Don Mattingly bucking the system. Alcantara has all the numbers and stats as a traditional ace, but what I love the most is that he’s allowed to finish his own mess at the end of games regardless of pitch count. He has two complete games, which is twice as many as any other starter in the majors. The Marlins have won five straight, and the Angels have lost three straight. Marlins win.

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Micah Roberts

Former Vegas Bookmaker
+1756 70-52 IN LAST 122 MLB ML PICKS
+1486 31-15 IN LAST 46 LAA ML PICKS
+638 13-7 IN LAST 20 MIA ML PICKS

Season Splits

51-67, -2332 ML
52-66, -1744 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
45%
37-44, -1525
38-40, -463
48%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
43%
16-21, -641
19-16, -101
54%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
25%
7-21, -1273
22-11, +498
66%
When Line was +112 to +142
MONEY LINE
When Line was -163 to -133
23%
3-10, -615
7-4, +85
63%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
23%
5-16, -978
15-8, +252
65%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
50%
5-5, -150
19-10, +482
65%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
44%
13-16, -658
27-15, +805
64%
After a Day Off
REST
3rd game without a day off
18%
2-9, -770
26-29, -398
47%
vs MIA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs LAA
100%
2-0, +144
0-2, -200
0%
when Noah Syndergaard starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Sandy Alcantara starts
41%
5-7, -314
10-6, +207
62%