The New York Mets are aiming for their fifth win over the Marlins in the past week. They took three of four in their homestand last week and won 5-3 in the the opener in Miami on Friday. The Mets made the most of their chances Friday, scoring five runs on just six hits. Take the Mets again Saturday as the market continues to adjust on Marlins pitcher Trevor Rogers.

The Mets are getting too much respect. The Marlins beat Mets starter Chris Bassitt just last week, which was Bassitt's third loss in his last four starts. My model says Miami wins almost 60 percent of simulations, so you're getting strong value at this number.