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Tue 05/17 | 11:07 PM UTC | Toronto
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Seattle Mariners 40-42, -293 ML
SEA +1.5-170
SEA +125
Over 8-110
Toronto Blue Jays 44-37, -419 ML
TOR -1.5+145
TOR -145
Under 8-110

Expert Picks

Seattle 0 @ Toronto 3 | 05/17 | 11:07 PM UTC

Toronto -140

WIN

ANALYSIS: Seattle's Logan Gilbert (4-1, 2.13) has better numbers than Toronto's Jose Berrios (2-2, 5.82), but Gilbert has shown some cracks in the past two starts and Berrios is just too good to continue with an ERA near 6.00. His past two home starts were quite good. And the Jays are simply different beasts offensively at Rogers Centre, why we won on them Monday. Toronto batters currently rank 3rd in the AL in home SLG (.423), 4th in home AVG (.249), 4th in home OPS (.738), and 6th in home OBP (.315). I frankly don't know why the M's are starting both Mike Ford (.154, 0 HR, 4 RBI) and Steven Souza (.154, 0 HR, 1 RBI). Those should be automatic outs along with catcher Cal Raleigh (.086, 2 HR, 3 RBI).

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1651 205-129 IN LAST 334 MLB PICKS
+730 13-4 IN LAST 17 TOR ML PICKS

Season Splits

40-42, -293 ML
44-37, -419 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
44%
16-20, -443
19-17, -194
52%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
35%
7-13, -441
11-6, +112
64%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
34%
9-17, -626
15-10, -27
60%
When Line was +106 to +136
MONEY LINE
When Line was -156 to -126
33%
5-10, -425
4-5, -205
44%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
31%
6-13, -525
10-5, +76
66%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
0%
0-4, -400
5-4, -94
55%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
36%
4-7, -369
5-9, -613
35%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
35%
10-18, -916
14-13, -132
51%
vs TOR
HEAD TO HEAD
vs SEA
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +61
100%
when Logan Gilbert starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Jose Berrios starts
71%
5-2, +289
5-2, +227
71%