Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
It's happening again. From April 25 to now, the Rockies have gone 1-9 on the road and 5-1 at home. They are 10-5 at home overall after going 48-33 at home last year. The Royals are 4-10 on the road and are, in general, a worse team than the Rockies. Royals starter Zack Greinke has been very good this year, but his pitch-to-contact approach isn't well suited for spacious Coors Field, which has a .326 BABIP and .286 overall batting average this year. Plus, Rockies starter Kyle Freeland is going well, pitches well in Coors Field, the Rockies didn't play Thursday while the Royals played in Texas and had to travel. It all comes up Rockies, so much so that we like the run line (-1.5 at +132).
Kyle Freeland has been very good since his first couple starts and that includes a home start. He will face a Royals team that is better against lefties, but still in the bottom 5 in the league overall. The Rockies had yesterday off while the Royals were playing a close game. They shouldn’t have Taylor Clarke, Collin Snider, or Amir Garrett available tonight and Josh Staumont would be pitching his third game in four nights. The only way I see the Royals pulling out this game is if they hit Freeland hard and Greinke can make it deep in the game. Take the Rockies at home.
Kudos to Jeff Hochman for jumping early on the Rockies at home Friday! I totally agree and usually do the same for most Rockies home games against lesser opponents as we often gain a good 20 cents. Colorado has a huge advantage being off Thursday and the Royals are playing Thursday night in Texas and have to travel. Nothing good can come from that game (i.e. injuries, use key relievers, etc.). Rox lefty Kyle Freeland was bad his first two starts this year but in four starts since signing a long-term extension is 1-1 with a 1.57 ERA in 23 innings. Tell me why I'm wrong! (I'm not) Twitter: @jordanpaytonsn1
The Rockies return home Friday after getting swept by San Francisco. The Royals will start Zack Greinke, who has struggled at Coors Field. And that's when he was throwing the mid-90s. I think the Rockies will feast on him. Kansas City is ranked No. 26 in OPS (on base+slugging) versus left-handed starters. Rockies starter Kyle Freeland has been great at home off a team loss in his career. Colorado is 5-0 in its past five home games against losing AL teams. Expect more of the same.