The Rockies are 10-5 at home, averaging 5.5 runs, and should tee off on Washington's Aaron Sanchez, who's allowed a stunning hard-hit rate of 59.4 percent. Colorado's Antonio Senzatela is 2-0 with a 1.84 ERA in three home starts, though he has struggled with a few Nats' batters historically. Still, the price is very reasonable on the hosts. They're 33-13 in their last 46 as favorites.

I've been noticing I tend to save around 20 cents or more on Rockies home games when I pick them early like this -- at least when they are favored against bad teams. The pitching matchup in the matinee Thursday certainly seems to favor the Rox with Antonio Senzatela (2-1, 3.66) against the Nats' Aaron Sanchez (1-1, 6.75). Senzatela is 2-0 with a 1.84 ERA in three home starts. Washington is likely to be without DH Nelson Cruz again due to back troubles (not that he has been hitting much, but one less big bat).