What's there to think about? Seattle has won both games of this series by multiple runs and taken 18 of the past 20 at home in the series. Yes, M's outfielder Mitch Haniger is out with COVID, but I still like Seattle behind Marco Gonzales (1-1, 3.00). He was 2-1 with a 3.42 ERA in four starts against the Rangers in 2021, including a complete game. Texas starts Taylor Hearn (0-1, 4.70). Meh.

It's been a historically poor start for the Rangers (2-9), who have just one road win thus far. Seattle, meanwhile, is 7-5 overall with a 4-1 mark at home and a 3-0 record when favored. Seattle lefty Marco Gonzales has been solid this season and is coming off a seven-inning masterpiece against the Astros where he gave up just four hits and one earned run. With Seattle's last four wins coming by at least two runs, let's take a small calculated risk here and go Seattle -1.5 on the run line for the bigger return (+150).