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Wed 10/27 | 12:09 AM UTC | Houston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Braves 95-76, +282 ML
ATL +1.5
ATL +115
Over 8.5
Houston Astros 102-70, +210 ML
HOU -1.5
HOU -125
Under 8.5

Expert Picks

Atlanta 6 @ Houston 2 | 10/27 | 12:09 AM UTC

Atlanta +125

WIN

ANALYSIS: This one feels like a toss up, so taking the underdog here makes sense. The Braves were a great road team this season, going 46-35 away from home. They split games in Milwaukee in the NLDS and were one late meltdown away from taking two of three in Dodger Stadium. Charlie Morton was better on the road as well. He's been here before, having already pitched in the World Series for the Astros (and Rays). He was brilliant in the 2017 World Series. I'll go with him shutting down his former teammates here.

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Matt Snyder

Stick With What Works
+3276 70-34 IN LAST 104 MLB ML PICKS
+891 13-4 IN LAST 17 HOU ML PICKS
+608 10-4 IN LAST 14 ATL ML PICKS

Season Splits

95-76, +282 ML
102-70, +210 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
55%
95-76, +236
102-70, +208
59%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
55%
48-38, +405
55-31, +373
64%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
45%
27-32, +120
86-51, +232
62%
When Line was +110 to +140
MONEY LINE
When Line was -150 to -120
48%
15-16, +240
24-12, +624
66%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
41%
17-24, -332
52-28, +328
65%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
47%
26-29, -312
38-20, +1157
65%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
45%
9-11, -356
16-14, -100
53%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
51%
16-15, -117
19-10, +490
65%
vs HOU
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
when Charlie Morton starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Framber Valdez starts
50%
18-18, -586
16-9, +209
64%