The Dodgers have won four straight elimination games against the Braves in the NLCS, but that streak stops here. Walker Buehler on short rest worked out in the NLDS, but only for 4 1/3 innings. He wasn't good in his next start, which was Game 3 of this series. He'll be compromised and the Braves will get to him. Braves starter Ian Anderson has major first-inning issues, but so long as he doesn't get crushed there, they are set up well. Will Smith, Tyler Matzek and A.J. Minter were avoided in Game 5, so they've all had two days of rest. An early Braves lead means Brian Snitker can shorten the game.

The Braves head home up 3-2 and they will face Walker Buehler for his second start on short rest this postseason. He actually pitched better in the start on short rest the first time, but he was only able to pitch for 4.1 innings. He was also hit hard for a short outing in his first start against the Braves. Ian Anderson didn’t have his best stuff in his start against the Dodgers either, but he managed to get through 3 innings. The Braves were able to save all their best bullpen arms since last game was a blowout while the Dodgers were forced to use all their best arms, despite it being a blowout. I think that will be the difference late in this game. The Braves don’t want this to go to Game 7 after blowing a 3-1 lead in the NLCS last season. I think they play inspired at home, take the Braves at home to go to the World Series.

Here we go again: Oddsmakers hugely overpricing the Dodgers with Max Scherzer on the mound. I simply don't get this moneyline number on the road, so I'll take advantage and grab the Braves at -110 on the runline. I get L.A. being favored a bit, but not this much. Atlanta starter Ian Anderson has had a scoreless outing in four of his first six career postseason appearances overall. Three of those six starts have come against the Dodgers, who scored two runs in three innings against him in Game 2. L.A. is now down a key reliever in Joe Kelly.