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Sun 10/24 | 12:08 AM UTC | Atlanta
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
L.A. Dodgers 112-61, -196 ML
LAD -1.5
LAD -145
Over 8
Atlanta Braves 94-76, +147 ML
ATL +1.5
ATL +135
Under 8

Expert Picks

L.A. Dodgers 2 @ Atlanta 4 | 10/24 | 12:08 AM UTC

Atlanta 135

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Dodgers have won four straight elimination games against the Braves in the NLCS, but that streak stops here. Walker Buehler on short rest worked out in the NLDS, but only for 4 1/3 innings. He wasn't good in his next start, which was Game 3 of this series. He'll be compromised and the Braves will get to him. Braves starter Ian Anderson has major first-inning issues, but so long as he doesn't get crushed there, they are set up well. Will Smith, Tyler Matzek and A.J. Minter were avoided in Game 5, so they've all had two days of rest. An early Braves lead means Brian Snitker can shorten the game.

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Matt Snyder

Stick With What Works
+3140 72-37 IN LAST 109 MLB ML PICKS
+472 12-7 IN LAST 19 ATL ML PICKS
+395 11-7 IN LAST 18 LAD PICKS

Season Splits

112-61, -196 ML
94-76, +147 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
64%
112-61, -196
94-76, +101
55%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
58%
50-36, -585
46-38, -304
54%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
66%
111-57, +103
26-32, -15
44%
When Line was -160 to -130
MONEY LINE
When Line was +120 to +150
58%
27-19, -38
10-13, +14
43%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
60%
49-32, -286
9-8, +317
52%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
54%
32-27, -710
25-29, -447
46%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
79%
27-7, +868
28-32, -351
46%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
58%
17-12, -225
15-15, -252
50%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs LAD
54%
6-5, -146
5-6, +96
45%
when Walker Buehler starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Ian Anderson starts
66%
24-12, -8
15-11, +152
57%