The Astros are the better team. They were 51-30 at home this season while the Red Sox were 43-38 on the road. Thanks to the incredible work of Framber Valdez in Game 5 and the off day, they no longer have major concerns on the pitching side. Even if starter Luis Garcia can't go deep, the Astros can piece things together with their good bullpen arms. Red Sox starter Nathan Eovaldi is very good, but he's not untouchable. The Astros have gotten him for seven runs in six innings of work this series. Even if he pitches well for a bit, the Astros' relentless offense will take care of business eventually. They are headed to another World Series.

Normally, I would be all over Nathan Eovaldi and the Red Sox here but I think Cora put him in a bad situation by having him pitch in Game 4. Not to mention, he hasn’t looked as dominant as he has been in previous playoff starts. But even if he pitches well, he should run out of juice earlier than usual because of his Game 4 appearance, and he still hasn’t gone more than 5.1 IP in these playoffs in the first place. Luis Garcia struggled in his first two playoff starts but that was mostly due to walks. I think he will model after Framber Valdez and attack the zone early to get the Red Sox hitters out. And if he struggles, the Astros have Jake Odorizzi rested and ready to pitch in long relief if need be. Eovaldi’s fastball plays into a lot of these Astros right-handed bats well, I will take the Astros at home to go to the World Series.

There's no runline value here, so I'm simply going to back the home team. The Astros seemed to find their hitting mojo the past two games in Boston. Yes, Red Sox pitcher Nathan Eovaldi is more trustworthy than Astros rookie Luis Garcia, but it concerns me that Alex Cora took Eovaldi out of his comfort zone by using him in relief Tuesday. He hadn't been used in relief all season and Eovaldi was just OK in his Game 2 start in Houston. A few Astros hitters (Altuve, Bregman, Correa, Alvarez) have nice career regular-season splits against him. Houston on to the World Series, although I'd love to see a Game 7.