The Dodgers won 18(!) more games in the regular season. They were a ridiculous 58-23 at home. From the start of August to the end of the regular season they were 43-13. Even though the Braves were hot down the stretch, I simply can't see them running this series to 3-0 in the face of how much better the Dodgers were in the regular season. Walker Buehler gets the ball in this one. He was 12-2 at home this year, including the playoffs. The Dodgers will take this one.

While Atlanta's Charlie Morton has been terrific in the postseason in his career, I simply can't fade the desperate Dodgers back home -- where Atlanta rarely has won over the past handful of years -- with well-rested Walker Buehler on the mound for LA. Buehler had a 2.05 ERA at home during the regular season and batters hit just .192 off him. Frankly, I'm shocked that Atlanta is up 2-0 with how badly Freddie Freeman is struggling at the plate, but that will catch up to the Braves in Game 3.

The Dodgers had chances to win each of the first two games and they couldn’t do it, in part because of poor hitting with runners on and in part because of poor managing. They are now down 2-0 headed back to Los Angeles because of it. The Dodgers haven’t lost a home game since August and they have their ace Walker Buehler going. Buehler has a career 2.50 ERA in the postseason and hasn’t allowed more than 3 runs in a playoff start in his last 11 appearances. He pitched 11 innings allowing 1 ER against the Braves in the NLCS last season. Charlie Morton has been solid in his playoff starts and very good in his career in the playoffs, but he allowed 5 ER in 4.1 IP to the Dodgers in his only playoff start against them last season. The Dodgers will be managing this game like it is an elimination game for them while the Braves will be playing to just win at least 1 out of the 3 games, take the Dodgers to stay alive in this series at home.