Hard to wager against Jays lefty Robbie Ray, the new betting favorite at Caesars Sportsbook for the AL Cy Young. He dominated the Rays last week in Toronto and is 2-1 with a 1.85 ERA in five outings against them this year (see news feed). The Rays are giving touted prospect Shane Baz his MLB debut on the mound, and it's a tough ask to face that red-hot Toronto lineup. In addition, the Rays won't have one of their best relievers available with Andrew Kittredge landing on the IL today. Tampa sluggers Austin Meadows, Brandon Lowe and Mike Zunino are out of the lineup. That's 90 HRs and 244 RBIs missing.

Cy Young favorite Robbie Ray is facing rookie prospect Shane Baz tonight in Tampa. The Rays have been hitting lefties well lately but they are just 8-10 this month while the Blue Jays are 15-3. In his last 7 starts, Ray is 3-0 with a 1.91 ERA and he just allowed 1 run in 7 IP against the Rays. He has faced the Rays 5 times this season and pitched a quality start in each one. Take the Blue Jays.

My model says the Blue Jays win in 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them at this number. Toronto has been nearly unstoppable in its charge toward the postseason, winning 18 of its last 22 contests, including two of three against the Rays last week. The Blue Jays, who occupy a wild-card spot in the AL, went 7-1 on their last road trip and have won nine of their last 10 away from home overall. Tampa Bay still owns a 6 1/2-game lead in the AL East but has lost seven of its last 11. Toronto LHP Robbie Ray is unbeaten in 10 starts since July 21 while Rays RHP Shane Baz is making his major-league debut. Take the Blue Jays.