Milwaukee's Brett Anderson is only in the big leagues because he's a southpaw. He has well-below average stuff and would not be on a roster if right-handed. Anderson's ERA over his last four-plus years is 4.98, with almost one-third of his 385 innings taking place in a pitcher's park. Chicago's Yu Darvish has been brilliant over his last two starts, but I'm not completely sold he still is a top-tier pitcher. The Cubs' offense has lived up to its billing as one of the top five in baseball. The Brewers have underachieved, but I still think they are above average. The total is lower because the wind will be blowing in from center, but under 10 miles per hour will not affect play.

Yu Darvish has a 2.32 career ERA versus Milwaukee, and Brett Anderson sports a 2.25 career ERA against Chicago. With the wind blowing in, I'll go Under 8.5 runs.

My numbers see the Brewers beating the Cubs about half the time in their Thursday meeting to give us a massive overlay on the underdog. Milwaukee starter Brett Anderson has struggled thus far but has been solid against the Cubs. Last season, he won his lone start against them while allowing two runs over six innings. Meanwhile, the lone loss of the season for Cubs starter Yu Darvish came against this Brewers team.