Braves pitcher Max Fried’s second half dominance did not feature a loss post All-Star break. That all changed in his last start in which the Philadelphia Phillies blasted Fried with four home runs. Look for the young ace to respond strong Sunday against the Washington Nationals. This is a Braves team with high confidence and Fried just pitched a one-hit outing against the Nationals on September 5th.

The Nats are covering the run line in 64 percent of my simulations, making it a strong play at -161. Braves starter Max Fried has a 5.14 ERA over the last month. Back Washington on the run line.